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Alicia García-Herrero
Alicia García Herrero is a Senior fellow at Bruegel.
She is the Chief Economist for Asia Pacific at French investment bank Natixis, based in Hong Kong and is an independent Board Member of AGEAS insurance group. Alicia also serves as a non-resident Senior fellow at the East Asian Institute (EAI) of the National University Singapore (NUS). Alicia is also Adjunct Professor at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (HKUST). Finally, Alicia is a Member of the Council of the Focused Ultrasound Foundation (FUF), a Member of the Board of the Center for Asia-Pacific Resilience and Innovation (CAPRI), a member of the Council of Advisors on Economic Affairs to the Spanish Government, a member of the Advisory Board of the Berlin-based Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) and an advisor to the Hong Kong Monetary Authority’s research arm (HKIMR).
In previous years, Alicia held the following positions: Chief Economist for Emerging Markets at Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA), Member of the Asian Research Program at the Bank of International Settlements (BIS), Head of the International Economy Division of the Bank of Spain, Member of the Counsel to the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, Head of Emerging Economies at the Research Department at Banco Santander, and Economist at the International Monetary Fund. As regards her academic career, Alicia has served as visiting Professor at John Hopkins University (SAIS program), China Europe International Business School (CEIBS) and Carlos III University.
Alicia holds a PhD in Economics from George Washington University and has published extensively in refereed journals and books (see her publications in , , or ). Alicia is very active in international media (such as BBC, Bloomberg, CNBC and CNN) as well as social media ( and ). As a recognition of her thought leadership, Alicia was included in the in 2017 and .
Disclosure of interests
Featured work
![China stock market](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-06/GettyImages-1502318814.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=9WIMjQZo)
China economic database
Repository of what we consider to be the most relevant macroeconomic data for China and EU-China relations.
![featured image for opinion pieces](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-12/opinion.jpg?h=5b4a59a6&itok=TolRQ9rJ)
China would balk at a sweeping Mar-a-Lago accord
Given the need for a weak renminbi to support export growth, a reprise of the 1985 Plaza Accord with Japan is unlikely
![Former EU Commissioner for Transport Adina Valean speaks during Global Gateway Forum in Brussels, Belgium on October 25, 2023.](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-12/visual.png?h=5b4a59a6&itok=6AtiSzv4)
David and Goliath: The EU’s Global Gateway versus China’s Belt and Road Initiative
![featured image for opinion pieces](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-12/opinion.jpg?h=5b4a59a6&itok=TolRQ9rJ)
Global economy bracing for Trumpworld
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Better braced for disaster: upgrading EU support mechanisms
The European Union needs to adapt its emergency funding mechanisms to the increasing number and severity of climate catastrophes
![Chinese President Xi Jinping shakes hands with United Nations Secretary General Antonio Guterres before the bilateral meeting of the Second Belt and Road Forum at the Great Hall of the People on April 25, 2019 in Beijing, China. (Photo by Andrea Verdelli/Pool/Getty Images)](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-11/Nov%20nl%20feature.png?h=5b4a59a6&itok=5jSqWPOG)
China might be less influential at the United Nations than you would think
![e](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-11/Alicia%20131124.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=tFc9GGRU)
China on Trump: indifferent but wary
There are risks and opportunities for China in Trump’s return, with Europe as potential collateral damage
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Shifts in China's foreign policy: a closer look at its role in the United Nations
Exploring China's growing influence and its changing role within the United Nations
![wp19](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-11/WP%2019.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=V3YZwqnr)
China’s influence at the United Nations: words and deeds
Understanding China’s influence at the UN is essential for comprehending contemporary international relations
![Xi Jinping and Ursula von der Leyen](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-10/VdL%20and%20Xi.jpg?h=f8d6b0a5&itok=C3r4DF-7)
Updating the EU strategy on China: co-existence while derisking through partnerships
The EU is now better equipped to deal with China in a systematic way, but the question remains whether the existing tools will be enough
![Aerial view of a cargo ship carrying Chinese-made cars for export leaveing Yantai Port on March 11, 2024 in Yantai, Shandong Province of China.](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-10/GettyImages-2077068179.jpg?h=b6e6b88e&itok=KF4dVk0J)
Who will call the shots in the EU’s future trade disputes with China?
![President Xi and President Putin shaking hands at the Kazan summit](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-10/GettyImages-2179737419.jpg?h=a141e9ea&itok=kJOvOYrM)
BRICS is becoming a more solid construction
BRICS is consolidating into a China-dominated bloc that aims to shape the global order; the West should pay attention
![Office workers talk near the CCTV building as they take a break in the Central Business District on October 22, 2024 in Beijing, China. Chinas government this month announced several fiscal measures aimed at boosting economic growth and consumer spending in the worlds second largest economy. (Photo by Kevin Frayer/Getty Images)](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-11/october%20nl%20feature.png?h=5b4a59a6&itok=JkVIwqAJ)
China's stimulus package aims to rescue the economy from systemic risks
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The EU’s duties on EVs are a turning point in EU-China relations
![A delivery driver puts a food order in a digital mailbox in the Central Business District on October 24, 2024 in Beijing, China. Chinas government this month announced several fiscal measures aimed at boosting economic growth and consumer spending in the worlds second largest economy. (Photo by Kevin Frayer/Getty Images)](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-10/GettyImages-2180925666.jpg?h=d67e1774&itok=xcuy2dXB)
Stimulus Measures Expose Weakness Since Third Plenum
![5](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-10/Alicia%20091024.jpg?h=9e5702ad&itok=EwJdCWvd)
European Union duties on electric vehicles point to new era of EU-China relations
The EU's move to introduce tariffs on Chinese EVs is surprising given the bloc's main dependence on imports
![w](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-10/pexels-mikebirdy-110844.jpg?h=c673cd1c&itok=At0sXgup)
EU member states should endorse tariffs on Chinese EVs or risk undermining European interests and agency
![eu china summit](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-10/visual.png?h=5b4a59a6&itok=lfBbQhaz)
The European Union must prepare for a much more difficult relationship with China
![w](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-09/Alicia%20230924.jpg?h=6eb4d876&itok=d2YRbdPk)
How Important Are Global Value Chains for The Indo-Pacific?
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Europe needs to move beyond US elections’ abyss
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What determines global sentiment towards China’s Belt and Road Initiative?
![c](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-08/istockphoto-1329172086-612x612.jpg?h=279670ce&itok=qTejG5VG)
Urgency, speed and scale: Dealing with China under the new Commission
This closed-door event discussed how the new European Commission should address the China related issues.
![HEFEI, CHINA - MAY 09: The Nio's 500,000th vehicle, a Nio ES8 electric vehicle, makes appearance at F2 factory in NeoPark on May 9, 2024 in Hefei, Anhui Province of China. Chinese electric car maker Nio saw its 500,000th vehicle roll off the production line on May 9. (Photo by Zhang Dagang/VCG via Getty Images)](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-08/GettyImages-2152143756.jpg?h=06b408a9&itok=StO8bIRy)
China's EV makers can't follow Japan's 'flying geese' offshoring strategy
![china india](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-08/pexels-lara-jameson-8828343.jpg?h=74c1bf4d&itok=UI73p7Qm)
Will pragmatism prevail in China-India relations under Modi 3.0?
![image](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-07/GettyImages-2151694459.jpg?h=9b536320&itok=12iSkDWM)
China sees mixed results wooing Europe
![ethiopia metro station](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-07/visual.png?h=5b4a59a6&itok=mlhxG5qE)
While Africa’s economic relations with China are hyped, its relationship with the EU is more favourable
![r](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-07/GettyImages-1435484270.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=pw4q1Og4)
China’s Third Plenum all about muddling through
![y](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-07/Alicia%20170724.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=42i2xKPT)
The EU’s concept of de-risking hovers around economic diversification rather than national security
![h](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-07/GettyImages-1246956614.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=SVnco08y)
Adapt to a harsher world: Memo to the High Representative for Foreign and Security Policy
The EU has become more vulnerable, facing Russian aggression on its borders and a conflict in the Middle East where it has little influence
![y](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-07/alicia%20110724.jpg?h=65267471&itok=w6ATv-aw)
China’s third plenum is unlikely to significantly correct an ailing economy
A gradual approach to resolving China's economic problems will likely exacerbate the supply-demand imbalance
![background](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-07/zm%201.jpg?h=39b94f55&itok=Gi5FnUUz)
EU's countervailing duties on China's electric vehicles show how relations have changed
![Man making car](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-04/GettyImages-52594414.jpg?h=16013371&itok=4vaW7hL1)
China’s Innovation and Industrial Policy: Achievements, challenges and consequences for Europe
At this event, we explored both China's successes and challenges when it comes to innovation.
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India’s indecisive election result could point to slower economic reform
India’s new coalition government will have to make more compromises, including on the economic front
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China’s Aging Problem Will Be Much More Serious When Urbanization is Completed
![5](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-05/pexels-jimmy-liao-3615017-11581721.jpg?h=1c9b88c9&itok=uSxgHtk6)
Hardening US trade stance on China complicates EU’s balancing act
![background](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-07/zm%202.jpg?h=39b94f55&itok=phCGsKV_)
European investors in China are facing weak demand, more competition and tougher regulations
![man in a factory](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-05/MicrosoftTeams-image%20%2816%29.png?h=199d8c1f&itok=7DVytavC)
China’s global trade influence: where do we stand?
This closed-door roundtable analyse China's evolving role in global trade, highlighting recent shifts and their implications for the EU.
![WP 11 2024](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-05/WP%2011.jpg?h=551ff741&itok=XiJ7jbDD)
Unpacking China’s industrial policy and its implications for Europe
This paper assess how beneficial industrial policy has been for China and how exportable to the European Union its model might be
![A picture of XI Jinping and Emmanuel Macron meeting in Paris](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-05/GettyImages-1180304867.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=iExdk1BR)
Xi’s visit underlines the hard choices the European Union faces on China
The EU cannot separate policy on China from its goals of containing Russia and ensuring economic security
![chip](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-05/zm%20newsletter_0.jpg?h=39b94f55&itok=ESxF57bE)
The dual objective of China's competition quest: mitigating structural deceleration and great power rivalry
![e](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-04/GettyImages-1303307252.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=W2kk1vPk)
How does China conduct industrial policy: analyzing words versus deeds
![An employee works at a semiconductor production line on April 1, 2024 in Binzhou, Shandong Province of China. (Photo by VCG/VCG via Getty Images)](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-04/GettyImages-2131564266.jpg?h=903dff9f&itok=iDfVjxYF)
China’s ‘new productive forces’ risk overcapacity bubble
![A child smiles as people flock to a bustling marketplace near Jama Masjid as part of Eid Al-Fitr preparations in New Delhi, India on April 09, 2024. The thoroughfares bustled with eager shoppers, fervently seeking out the finest bargains on attire, provisions, and other essentials requisite for the festivities of Eid. Ramadan, a sacred period of introspection, self-restraint, and spiritual reinvigoration, holds profound significance for Muslims globally.](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-04/GettyImages-2144484225.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=4j2KpkMs)
India's economy can overtake China's if it can stay on track
![JOHANNESBURG, SOUTH AFRICA - AUGUST 24: South African President Cyril Ramaphosa with fellow BRICS leaders President of Brazil Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, President of China Xi Jinping, Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi, and Russia's Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov pose for a family photo with delegates, including six nations invited to join the BRICS group, Argentina, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia, during the closing day of the BRICS Summit 2023.](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-04/GettyImages-1636010210.jpg?h=2992ba0a&itok=49rfTljh)
China continues to dominate an expanded BRICS
![e](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-04/GettyImages-1180313087.jpg?h=9e5702ad&itok=3ijf_Dyh)
EU-China relation and de-risking global decarbonisation
![xi during two sessions 2024](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-04/visual.png?h=5b4a59a6&itok=08L9Nur9)
China's continued focus on the same export-driven model is bound to hit an impasse
![ai chips](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-04/visual_0.png?h=5b4a59a6&itok=_NbDRScx)
South Korea's rollercoaster relations with China offer lessons for Europe
![,](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-05/GettyImages-52594414%20-%20Copy.jpg?h=16013371&itok=UrCD4-xO)
China’s evolving industrial policy: Lessons for Europe
![g](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-03/pexels-magda-ehlers-2844316.jpg?h=c673cd1c&itok=_2ims1vs)
China and WTO reform: what to expect?
![y](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-02/Alicia%20190224.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=xmOeoEeC)
Indonesia’s post-election balancing act
Indonesia must reconcile its aim to be a leading Asian power with its current over-reliance on China
![e](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-02/Alicia%20130224.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=Ete8roHF)
The post-election Taiwanese economy: decisions ahead and takeaways for the European Union
The EU should try to attract more business from Taiwan, though Taiwan’s January 2024 election has not made the job easier
![D](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-03/pexels-pixabay-275289.jpg?h=12a1b64b&itok=XW_kOh-7)
Asia 2024 Outlook
![Taiwan elections](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-01/website%20visual.png?h=5b4a59a6&itok=bLTru54x)
Taiwan's elections: key takeaways for the European Union
![e](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-03/pexels-sascha-hormel-1095814.jpg?h=1c9b88c9&itok=mKBe_kyb)
Global Supply Chain Resilience: Facts and Implications
![Supporters of the DPP are waving flags and banners at Ketagalan Boulevard during a campaign rally for the Democratic Progressive Party in Taiwan](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-01/GettyImages-1918419358.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=UW_2ni5e)
Taiwan’s future economic direction hinges on the election outcome
Depending who wins Taiwan’s 13 January election, the island could swing towards closer relations with China, or entrench decoupling from China.
![w](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-01/Alicia%20100124.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=gbgJJyYu)
Taiwan's election will mark an economic crossroads
Growth is rebounding, but island must decide whether to deepen links with China.
![D](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-03/GettyImages-1182275901.jpg?h=167c6200&itok=RRhv-gO7)
Potential Geoeconomic and Geopolitical Consequences of an Expanded BRICS
![Hong Kong pedestrians](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-01/GettyImages-1779705890.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=Rv35Yn1Z)
2024 will be about Western economic normalisation, China’s deceleration and India’s catch-up
China will continue to decelerate slowly but steadily while the rest of emerging Asia will do well.
![Picture of people crossing the street in front of buses](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-07/featured%20image%20web_1.jpg?h=5b4a59a6&itok=eKmc0mGq)
EU-China summit remains a ‘dialogue of the deaf’ for EU trade concerns
![Taiwanese flags fly above Mofan Street on October 6, 2023 in Kinmen, Taiwan. Kinmen is a group of islands in the Taiwan Strait that is governed by Taiwan and lies only a few miles off the coast of the People's Republic of China. Its strategic location served as the frontline during past conflicts with China, whose government sees the island nation as a breakaway province. (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-12/GettyImages-1726030299.jpg?h=790be497&itok=wvK6D3je)
Taiwan poised for economic bounceback in 2024
Growth should more than double from 1.2% to 2.9% so long as geopolitical risks including pivotal elections don’t bubble over
![A customer shops for milk at a grocery store on December 12, 2023 in San Anselmo, California. According to a report by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, inflation slowed in November as consumer prices rose 3.1% compared to year earlier. Prices of grocery staples like milk and eggs continue to decline. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-12/GettyImages-1850485296.jpg?h=bc2947d1&itok=sHWCkC__)
Foreseeing world economy chokepoints in 2024
A rather positive scenario is subject to several risks, starting from geopolitics
![Banknotes of Renminbi arranged for photography on July 03 2018 in Hong Kong, Hong Kong. The Chinese yuan (RMB) has been slumping for the past eight days and the People's Bank of China set the Renminbi midpoint fixing against dollar at 6.6166 on 29 June 2018. (Photo by S3studio/Getty Images)](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-12/GettyImages-991815304.jpg?h=9885ae14&itok=YmDznDlo)
Against the odds, China’s push to internationalise its currency is making gains
Geopolitical concerns help support the use of the renminbi despite weak foreign investment trends
![JINZHONG, CHINA - JUNE 21: Aerial view of new vehicles sitting parked at a plant of Geely Auto Group on June 21, 2022 in Jinzhong, Shanxi Province of China. (Photo by VCG/VCG via Getty Images)](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-12/GettyImages-1418497379.jpg?h=064c2fcf&itok=g3SXaSuS)
'Green tech partnership' offers way to de-risk while decarbonizing
Dependence on China carries supply risks beyond just geopolitics
![e](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-12/GettyImages-1500005944.jpg?h=4dc35482&itok=I-Z00Orw)
Why the European Union-China summit is bound to disappoint
The European Union is increasingly disappointed with China over trade.
![Biden and XI at the summit in San francisco](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-11/Alicia%20221123.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=hhL_8Avu)
Biden-Xi dialogue instrumental for a successful EU-China Summit in Beijing
![Picture of people crossing the street in front of buses](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-07/featured%20image%20web_1.jpg?h=5b4a59a6&itok=eKmc0mGq)
What has changed since our ZhōngHuá Mundus series started in 2021?
![a close up of a 100 Yuan Chinese banknote](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-11/PB%2020.jpg?h=ddb1ad0c&itok=2koW5ad0)
Third time lucky? China’s push to internationalise the renminbi
This paper analyses China’s different attempts to internationalise its currency and how they have fared.
![China Manufacturing Industry Solar Power](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-10/PB%2019.jpg?h=fe1eeb69&itok=Amr7loVq)
De-risking and decarbonising: a green tech partnership to reduce reliance on China
Greater alignment of the major economic powers is needed around a collective effort to improve security of supply for decarbonisation goods.
![a picture of a big road, with a lot of cars and buildings around, the fog or smog is over the city](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-10/GettyImages-1481310169.jpg?h=ddb1ad0c&itok=45eHNi-T)
How to de-risk dependence on China while decarbonising
How should the EU manage its dependence on China for clean tech?
![Picture of people crossing the street in front of buses](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-07/featured%20image%20web_1.jpg?h=5b4a59a6&itok=eKmc0mGq)
What is behind China's structural deceleration?
![Palestinian President Mahmud Abbas shakes hands with China’s President Xi Jinping after a signing ceremony at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on June 14, 2023.](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-10/GettyImages-1258685693.jpg?h=69f2b9d0&itok=0vwqPowt)
China’s position on Israel leading to a cold war
The most far-reaching ramification of recent events is the inexorable advance of a world splitting into two poles.
![The flags of the European Union (L) and China stand side by side](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-10/Alicia%20101023.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=cKrt93AE)
How might China hit back over the EU’s electric vehicle anti-subsidy investigation?
China’s silence towards the European Union’s electric vehicle probe could mean that a more harmful retaliation is on its way
![People with protective masks walk across zebra crossing on December 11, 2022 in Shanghai, China](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-10/WP%2017.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=Paw7Doge)
To what extent can urbanisation mitigate the negative impact of population ageing in China?
Our analysis reveals that ageing accounts for only about 1 percentage point of the GDP growth rate deceleration over the past decade.
![Picture of Renminbi notes](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-10/GettyImages-991815304.jpg?h=69f2b9d0&itok=r4y2EznZ)
Will the Renminbi become an international currency? Policy issues for the European Union
Invitation-only event organised in the frame of the China Horizons project
![Picture of people crossing the street in front of buses](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-07/featured%20image%20web_1.jpg?h=5b4a59a6&itok=eKmc0mGq)
China’s growing presence in Latin America is a problem for the West
![Giorgia Meloni](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-09/alicia.jpg?h=a31d927f&itok=OXldBOJI)
¿Qué precio pagará Italia por abandonar la Ruta de la Seda?
![China's currency](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-09/Alicia%20140923.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=u6xYiPmg)
China’s currency slide adds to its economic headaches
![Giorgia Meloni](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-09/Alicia%20120923.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=GVTilA4d)
Can Italy leave the Belt and Road Initiative without a backlash?
How China responds to Italy’s exit from the BRI may influence other members who are contemplating a similar move.
![Made in China](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-09/Alicia%20210923.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=DdF0lTzd)
As China’s Economy Drags, the Rest of Asia Offers Hope
![ԹϺ annual meetings image, with the pic of the previous event in 2022, plus a note lines](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-06/feat%20image.png?h=11f65397&itok=lnpmBj_S)
Bruegel Annual Meetings, 6-7 September 2023
A symphony in progress: shaping a new agenda for Europe
![D](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-03/GettyImages-463962664.jpg?h=50844e28&itok=qTvrEnta)
The War in Ukraine: Economic impact on Asia
![Picture of Shanghai](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-08/kin-li-e5IDfDCg-cE-unsplash.jpg?h=812d872b&itok=rsVJ0qXF)
How big is China’s global economic footprint? Takeaways for the European Union
![Picture of people crossing the street in front of buses](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-07/featured%20image%20web_1.jpg?h=5b4a59a6&itok=eKmc0mGq)
Following a boom, China's electric vehicle industry now faces weak domestic demand and heightened geopolitical risk
The story of China's EV industry.
![The Evergrande Mingdu residential complex, owned by Evergrande Group, is seen in Huai 'an, Jiangsu province, China, December 3, 2022. On the evening of July 17, 2023, China Evergrande Group's financial report showed that Evergrande had a two-year loss of more than 812 billion yuan and total liabilities of more than 2.4 trillion yuan. (Photo by Costfoto/NurPhoto via Getty Images)](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-08/GettyImages-1541242992.jpg?h=a507d2d7&itok=ANl7pV0l)
The dangerous link between China’s real estate demise, the economy and the financial system
China’s property sector is plunging further into a crisis that could have major ramifications on the country’s real economy and financial sector.
![Picture of people crossing the street in front of buses](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-07/featured%20image%20web_1.jpg?h=5b4a59a6&itok=eKmc0mGq)
Will China's quest for innovation help mitigate structural deceleration?
![Shangai](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-07/Alicia%20180723.jpg?h=06f6671c&itok=pSA2TNnU)
China’s GDP data point to need for stimulus, but will it come?
The main reason for the relatively poor second quarter is lackluster domestic demand.
![Cargo](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-07/Pascal%20030723.jpg?h=e5aec6c8&itok=tckN7DoS)
Resilience of Global Supply Chain: Facts and Implications
Companies diversifying their production away from the People's Republic of China might be a rather rational decision based on an economic rationale.
![China Economy](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-06/WP%2008.jpg?h=881fb769&itok=dHI8FALN)
China’s quest for innovation: progress and bottlenecks
We identify three potential bottlenecks that might be hindering the translation of China’s innovation efforts into productivity growth.
![Picture of people crossing the street in front of buses](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-06/featured%20image%20web_1.jpg?h=5b4a59a6&itok=S3vtYzIg)
China's growing and complex economic relationship with the Gulf States
![Picture of a harbour at night time](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-05/GettyImages-1479367850.jpg?h=c12e0b96&itok=l0ObkaLs)
To what extent can innovation and global economic dominance mitigate China’s structural slowdown?
Event in the frame of the project China Horizons - Dealing with a resurgent China (DWARC)*.
![China Economy](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-06/PB%2014%202023.jpg?h=65267471&itok=6v02RDPP)
Can Chinese growth defy gravity?
This paper discusses China’s growth for the next two decades, identifying the main challenges and factors that could mitigate its deceleration.
![US Congress Washington](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-06/GettyImages-2062515.jpg?h=3542c8f9&itok=oGBTi8EW)
China-EU roller-coaster relations: Where do we stand and what to do?
US Congress hearing on "Europe, the United States, and Relations with China: Convergence or Divergence?"
![4](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2024-03/pexels-wolfgang-weiser-20581300.jpg?h=cc80ce85&itok=SxMkx8HS)
Resilience of Global Supply Chain: Facts and Implications
![TIANJIN, CHINA - MARCH 26: Pedestrians and vehicles are seen in the street on March 26, 2023 in Tianjin, China. (Photo by VCG/VCG via Getty Images)](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-06/GettyImages-1477581988.jpg?h=df439f96&itok=Pu2jDQrs)
China’s weak recovery is turning off foreign investors
Quick rebound expected after the relaxation of zero-Covid policies has not materialised.
![BEIJING, CHINA - JANUARY 8: Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi (R) gestures as Costa Rican Foreign Minister Manuel Gonzalez Sanz (L) views documents at the Diaoyutai Guesthouse on January 8, 2015 in Beijing, China. The forum aims to gather officials of China and 33-member nations and states of the CELAC to boost bilateral ties. (Photo by Rolex Dela Pena-Pool/Getty Images)](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-06/GettyImages-461168408.jpg?h=001474ad&itok=O8Z1qGYE)
China’s growing power in Latin America
![Zhonghua mundus text feature image](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-03/featured%20image%20web_0.jpg?h=5b4a59a6&itok=g3FtfdZX)
China and the US might not be decoupling but their technologies are bifurcating
Once the process of building alliances starts, it is hard to stop.
![A construction worker working in a newly built building in Colombo, Sri Lanka, on January 18, 2023. (Photo by Thilina Kaluthotage/NurPhoto via Getty Images)](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-05/GettyImages-1246327670.jpg?h=04435ed8&itok=3udIPLBJ)
China’s overseas lending needs a full-fledged debt restructuring
![a picture of construction sight](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-05/GettyImages-1071307824.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=tjmVUq3T)
China’s structural deceleration: population aging versus innovation
Closed-door event discussed the importance of rapid aging for the future of the Chinese economy and dwelling on China’s major innovation trends
![un voting in march 2022](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-05/GettyImages-1376398654.jpg?h=a141e9ea&itok=O4WYBo3U)
What really influences United Nations voting on Ukraine?
Speculation has been triggered about new alliances emerging in the Global South, inspired by China and India's voting behaviour.
![EU China Summit](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-04/alicia%20280423.jpg?h=167c6200&itok=VE6ppZmg)
EU-China relations have been – and will remain – a rollercoaster
![Belt and Road Forum](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-04/WP%2004%202023.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=VQpbZ5u_)
Global trends in countries' perceptions of the Belt and Road Initiative
In this paper, we have analysed the sentiment towards the Belt and Road Initiative in the world using a large open-access dataset, namely GDELT.
![Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (L) shakes hands with Chinese President Xi Jinping](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-04/Alicia%20190423.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=dsL-wG71)
Brazil is not a real middle power if it just takes China's side
Lula cannot show strategic autonomy by parroting Xi Jinping
![Zhonghua mundus text feature image](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-03/featured%20image%20web_0.jpg?h=5b4a59a6&itok=g3FtfdZX)
China's good relations with Africa rely more on narratives than economic impact
![President of Brazil](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-04/GettyImages-1249940785.jpg?h=69f2b9d0&itok=Y6VIDvZf)
Will Lula find his El Dorado in China?
The Brazilian president is seeking Beijing’s support for his quest for middle power prowess
![1](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-04/GettyImages-1479359467.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=b8oDIDo_)
China’s 2023 work report and what it means: an AI post-mortem
China is taking a more nuanced approach to the overarching goal of GDP growth.
![President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-04/Alicia%20110423.jpg?h=a9b40787&itok=spzDBztm)
No gains for Europe from latest pilgrimage to Beijing
Emmanuel Macron and Ursula von der Leyen are petitioning Xi Jinping on Ukraine and other pressing issues
![Zhonghua mundus text feature image](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-03/featured%20image%20web_0.jpg?h=5b4a59a6&itok=g3FtfdZX)
The Belt and Road Initiative transformation makes it a more – not less- useful tool for China
![Globe mosaic](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-03/150323_0.jpg?h=69f2b9d0&itok=b1hxUPxC)
A European Think Tank’s Experience with the Global Pandemic: The Case of Bruegel
This chapter reviews Bruegel's experience and role in policy formation during the Covid-19 pandemic.
![Chinese President Xi Jinping](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-03/GettyImages-1472902839.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=uLdXYnVE)
China’s new regulator hints at a major clean-up of the world’s largest financial sector
Among several institutional changes, the most significant might be the creation of a new nationwide regulator to oversee China’s financial industry.
![Li Keqiang](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-03/GettyImages-1130613222.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=GodQT4x_)
Li Keqiang’s farewell points to employment as China’s major problem
China's modest 2023 growth target provides more evidence of a focus on sustainable growth and jobs.
![Photo of worker wearing glasses and blue overalls in front of a yellow excavator](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-02/GettyImages-1064449594.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=KtLKggHO)
The transformation of China’s Belt and Road Initiative: What is in it for Europe?
Closed-door event discussing China's BRI project.
![Zhonghua mundus text feature image](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-03/featured%20image%20web_0.jpg?h=5b4a59a6&itok=g3FtfdZX)
How well does China’s reopening bode for the economy? A political economy story
![Zhonghua mundus text feature image](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-03/featured%20image%20web_0.jpg?h=5b4a59a6&itok=g3FtfdZX)
The boom, bust and future of China's real estate sector
![A man wears a mask while walking through the Evergrande changqing community on September 24, 2021 in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-01/GettyImages-1342296684.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=UO76-gxN)
Don’t expect Asia to save the global economy in 2023
Southeast Asian economies, as well as India, are expected to decelerate, which will blur the positive impact of China’s reopening.
![Zhonghua mundus text feature image](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-03/featured%20image%20web_0.jpg?h=5b4a59a6&itok=g3FtfdZX)
China-India relations and their impact on Europe
![A medical worker in a COVID-19 nucleic acid testing cabin takes swab sample from a resident for COVID-19 nucleic acid test on August 22, 2022 in Zhengzhou, Henan Province of China.](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2022-12/GettyImages-1416839681.jpg?h=5707d16a&itok=jluXRGKu)
The COVID–19 pandemic and China’s economic slowdown
Any convergence with the U.S. economy will not continue for long.
![Demonstrators hold blank signs during a protest in Beijing, China, on Sunday, Nov. 27, 2022. Protests against Covid restrictions spread across China on Sunday as citizens took to the streets and university campuses, venting their anger and frustrations on local officials and the Communist Party.](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2022-11/GettyImages-1245158724.jpg?h=3eaaaaa8&itok=pLJe9y1x)
China protests add to uncertainty for investors
Demonstrations show how the country is struggling to deal with Covid and an easing of lockdowns.
![President Xi Jinping of China (L) and and his wife Peng Liyuan (R) are greeted by the President of the Indonesian Republic Joko Widodo and his wife, Iriana Joko Widodo, during a formal dinner at the G20 Summit on November 15, 2022 in Nusa Dua, Indonesia.](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2022-11/GettyImages-1441653496.jpg?h=ee107715&itok=zN3cUKja)
Xi Jinping’s new smiles got China off the hook at climate talks
Beijing's bandwidth to deliver is shrinking as its economic performance wanes.
![PC212022](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2022-11/GettyImages-622338000.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=o6dxvmT9)
Promotion of high capacity broadband to rebuild and recover from the pandemic
High-capacity broadband infrastructure will be a key enabler of a forward-looking recovery after COVID-19.
![Semiconductor](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2022-11/GettyImages-1231203328_0.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=6YZrXUXc)
Lessons for Europe from China’s quest for semiconductor self-reliance
This paper explores China's quest to become a domestic-demand-driven economy, and the lessons that can be learnt from its quest for self reliance.
![Flags of United States and China displayed on phone screens are seen in this multiple exposure illustration photo taken in Krakow, Poland on May 15, 2022.](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2022-11/GettyImages-1240703338.jpg?h=d0011375&itok=NeJuWSvS)
Biden, Xi focus on Taiwan and forget about Ukraine
The meet did not seem to offer solutions to the two most pressing problems for the international order.
![Zhonghua mundus text feature image](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2023-03/featured%20image%20web_0.jpg?h=5b4a59a6&itok=g3FtfdZX)
The geopolitics of semiconductors and what Europe can expect
![beijing](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2022-10/wu-yi-GGCP6vshpPY-unsplash%20%281%29.jpg?h=1d2649b0&itok=QTRMNSPt)
At Party Congress, Xi doubles down on China’s direction
The two key objectives are targeted self-reliance and national security
![r](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2022-10/GettyImages-1235103903.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=AVsgjh2f)
Europe’s promised semiconductor subsidies need to be better targeted
The proposed European Chips Act over-emphasises semiconductor production subsidies, focusing too little on increasing value-added in research.
![China real estate](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2022-10/2013-09-26T120000Z_1154199753_MT1IMGCN2014010820406_RTRMADP_3_CHINA-SHANDONG-RUSHAN-GHOST-CITY-1536x1024.jpg?h=197483aa&itok=I65CMaay)
China’s real estate sector goes south
The demise of China’s real estate sector, pushed by developer defaults and mortgage boycotts, is a major risk for the Chinese economy.
![Woman in flower field](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2022-09/GettyImages-1412817321.jpg?h=69f2b9d0&itok=Xvpgx265)
China's role in the global financial architecture
What risks does China's rise pose to the security of the international financial architecture?
![e](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2022-10/GettyImages-1429237065.jpg?h=a9b1ba5e&itok=0ufedPv3)
China and the West: growing apart as geopolitical tensions grow
The model of increasing economic interdependence between the West and the emerging world was built on assumptions that no longer hold.
![China building](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2022-10/GettyImages-1243266310.jpg?h=ac778ff2&itok=YY5UmxYX)
China can learn from the bursting of Japan's real estate bubble
Beijing cannot count on economic growth or fiscal space to tide through crisis
![Shinzo Abe](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2022-09/GettyImages-1128615992.jpg?h=6f174df1&itok=83b6uF0Z)
Shinzo Abe’s economic legacy: a glass half full
Abenomics has fallen short in many ways, but Japan has still largely coped with an aging society while maintaining a high level of income equality.
![People's Liberation Army soldiers stand in front of the People's Bank of China (PBOC) in Beijing, China, on Monday, Dec. 13, 2021.](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2022-09/GettyImages-1237203454.jpg?h=b435a841&itok=_00w6zGK)
China’s Economy Needs More Stimulus. Beijing’s Room for Maneuver Is Limited.
![BAM](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2022-07/web_teaser.jpg?h=2244d1e1&itok=LZc_GUKK)
Bruegel Annual Meetings, 6-7 September 2022
The Annual Meetings are Bruegel's flagship event which gathers high-level speakers to discuss the economic topics that affect Europe and the world.
![taiwan](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2022-07/jack-brind-eV7WTlVcydg-unsplash_1.jpg?h=f43bd704&itok=GIrXiiJn)
Ukraine and Taiwan on the Biden-Xi chessboard
Overall, Biden and Xi seem to be converging on their strategies for global dominance
![Federal Trade Commission](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2022-06/ian-hutchinson-ruQxygBJMOM-unsplash-scaled.jpg?h=7eabb7da&itok=hniTUao1)
China’s non-market practices, impact on the world, and what to do about it?
Testimony before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission.
![Belt and road](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2022-06/GettyImages-1157193425.jpg?h=199d8c1f&itok=7ZrglAuy)
A new kind of Belt and Road Initiative after the pandemic
The Belt and Road Initiative is turning from infrastructure financing into an instrument for Chinese soft and hard power.
![Social media card](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2022-06/GettyImages-1071306172.jpg?h=2e7c44a8&itok=b-w8Ft_g)
BRI 2.0: How has the pandemic influenced China’s landmark Belt and Road Initiative?
China's BRI is undergoing a transformation after two years of pandemic. How is it changing and what are the consequences for Europe.
![China Beijing](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/2022-05/wu-yi-GGCP6vshpPY-unsplash_0.jpg?h=1d2649b0&itok=970NB8BC)
Xi, Biden switching strategies for dominance
The US now sees Asia more through an economic lens, while China shifts toward a security focus
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Is China’s private sector advancing or retreating?
A look into the Chinese private sector.
![](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/wp_images/-shengpengpeng-cai-nO8j-DOUzmc-unsplash.jpg?h=8e9880da&itok=MAeFUjIH)
China’s Covid policy to be year’s largest economic shock
Beijing’s ‘dynamic zero-Covid’ policy could devastate the domestic economy, but the effects will also be felt globally.
![](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/wp_images/-PRC-Russia-border.jpeg?h=b69e0e0e&itok=jjkKskL4)
Early Warning Brief: China’s contorted response to Russia sanctions
The spectre of a democratic Russia aligned with the West is probably a more serious concern for Beijing than what it risks losing by supporting Russia
Rallying Chinese markets will not be a quick fix for Beijing
Top official makes rare intervention to reassure investors but progress to resolve problems will be difficult.
![](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/wp_images/-Screenshot-2022-03-16-105723.png?h=b5d63aee&itok=OAGAMyuJ)
China can see the limits of bailing out Russia's economy
Beijing will support Moscow as long as it does not fall foul of Western sanctions.
![](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/wp_images/-ivan-shilov-oJE6tlWM9gY-unsplash.jpg?h=03df99e6&itok=svkAGVfp)
China offers Russia respite but not a solution
Beijing could provide greater assistance to its partner while benefiting from greater energy and military security, but this option is not without ris
![](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/wp_images/-GettyImages-1372673313.jpg?h=69f2b9d0&itok=FcSVfnc_)
Can China bail out Putin?
Even with help from China, Russia will be unable to mitigate the immediate impact of Western sanctions.
![](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/wp_images/-GettyImages-1149914486.jpg?h=96cb0c74&itok=crMXityR)
War in Ukraine: Russia-China relations
A special episode of the Sound of Economics Live on China-Russia relations in the context of the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
![](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/wp_images/-Screenshot-2022-02-28-142910.png?h=b3f9e845&itok=kNufAbZe)
China’s economic support for Russia is not a panacea
The EU is still Russia’s largest trading partner, actually several times bigger than China.
![](/sites/default/files/styles/featured_image_medium_with_focal_point/public/wp_images/-https3A2F2Fs3-ap-northeast-1.amazonaws.com2Fpsh-ex-ftnikkei-3937bb42Fimages2F72F22F12F22F39042127-3-eng-GB2FCropped-1645506790A2022022220chip20factory20Jiaxing.jpg?h=4ffac15b&itok=xC1K-35h)
Global chip shortage may soon turn into an oversupply crisis
Only companies investing in advanced semiconductors will see their margins increase.
Will this be the century of youthful Asia?
Youthful Asia offers immense opportunities for investors, but this potential can only be realised if their infrastructure and energy needs are fulfill
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East-west divergence in central bank action will not last much longer
Fed shift towards raising rates will make it hard for China and Japan not to tighten monetary policy.
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How China’s investment in Middle East is evolving
The share of the Middle East in China’s total overseas investment has declined for several reasons.
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In the electric vehicle race, China coming first
China is not only a producer and consumer of EVs, but also of the battery components on which they depend.
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Global Gateway vs. Belt and Road Initiative
How does the EU's Global Gateway plan compare to China's Belt and Road initiative?
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2022 to see monetary decoupling between West and East
It does not look like the new year is going to be calmer than 2021.
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China’s medium term outlook: Will innovation save China from becoming old before it becomes rich?
What can China do to stop the deceleration of its economy. Is innovation the solution?
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Chinese economic statecraft: what to expect in the next five years?
Chapter from 'Storms Ahead: the Future Geoeconomic world order' on the expectations from the next five years of Chinese economic policy, published on
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Advancing global value and supply chains to mitigate the challenges arising from the pandemic
Session at the 1st ASIA-EUROPE ECONOMIC AND BUSINESS FORUM: Transitioning to a New Normal: Leveraging Global Value Chains, Multilateralism and the 4IR
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How can we create more sustainable value chains?
There is an urgent need for GVCs to become more resilient and inclusive, and meet the net-zero challenge.
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Microchips and Europe's strategic autonomy
Per microchips ad strategic autonomy.
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Weak G20 climate pledge doesn’t bode well for COP26
Climate strategists may see a need to shift to a more assertive approach.
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COP26: why carbon pricing is crucial to China’s climate change pledges
China’s emissions trading scheme is a welcome but to reach its full potential, it needs to cover more of China’s emissions, go beyond the electricity
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Xi’s pledge on financing coal plants overseas misses point
China’s domestic installation of coal-fired power plants continues at great pace.
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A world recovery fund to overcome developing countries’ post-covid debt woes?
Proposal to set up a World Recovery Fund (WRF), aimed at addressing some of the key problems with the design of the DSSI and more generally the existi
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Will China use climate change as a bargaining chip?
Beijing shows signs of changing tactics ahead of the COP26 conference.
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What Evergrande signals about China's economic future
Under Xi Jinping's new economic agenda 'common prosperity', China is cracking down on indebted real estate developers like Evergrande.
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The Sound of Economics Live: Unboxing the State of the Union 2021
In this episode, we look at the State of the Union address delivered by Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission.
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EU-India trade relations: assessment and perspectives
In-depth analysis prepared for the European Parliament's Committee on International Trade (INTA).
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What is behind China's Dual Circulation Strategy?
China's dual circulation strategy should not be dismissed as a buzzword: its implementation will entail major consequences.
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The role of the EU's trade strategy for an inclusive and sustainable recovery
Bruegel Annual Meetings, Day 3 - We are delighted to welcome Valdis Dombrovskis, Executive Vice President of the European Commission for An Economy th
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Bruegel Annual Meetings, 1-3 September 2021
The 2021 Annual Meetings gathered high-level speakers and participants to discuss how to recover from the crises brought on by the Covid pandemic
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Hydrogen development strategies: a global perspective
Despite different strategies, the European Union, the United Kingdom, the United States, China and Japan all expect hydrogen to play a significant rol
Why China should fear the EU's carbon border tax
Expect Beijing to soon start lobbying against the proposal.
Could the RMB dislodge the dollar as a reserve currency?
The dollar remains the world’s largest reserve currency, but it is facing both domestic and external risks.
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For the climate, Asia-Pacific must phase out fossil-fuel subsidies
An exit from coal in the Asia-Pacific region is a global decarbonisation priority.
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The UK’s security and trade relationship with China
Testimony before the International Relations and Defence Committee at the House of Lords, British Parliament on the UK’s security and trade relationsh
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Global value chain reshuffling: From tight coupling to loose coupling?
As the focus shifts from efficiency to resilience in global supply chains, what does this mean for China?
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Europe's crusade to fend off Chinese interference falls short
It is in everybody's interest for China to level the playing field among state-owned, private, and foreign companies so that no new distortionary meas
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China’s M&A activity rebounds with a clear focus on Europe
Despite the pandemic, China’s interest in overseas M&A started to rebound in late 2020, with European industrial companies still of particular interes
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China has a grand carbon neutrality target but where is the plan?
China’s new long-term targets, to reach peak emissions before 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by 2060, are yet to be matched with a consistent shor
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The EU-China investment deal may be anachronic in a bifurcating world
Ultimately, only time will tell if this landmark trade agreement will be productive and counter the potential bifurcation of international value chain
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Anchoring expectations as Two Sessions’ main objective
Interestingly, the growth target for 2021 is pretty humble: over 6 percent for 2021, while most forecasts hover between 7 and 10 percent.
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How is the G20 tackling debt problems of the poorest countries?
The G20 Debt Service Suspension Initiative, although a partial success, has been dogged by competing interests and lack of coordination. A further pus
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China’s state-owned enterprises and competitive neutrality
The concept of competitive neutrality can be used to assess how far a market is from being a competitive environment.
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Asset bubbles won’t help our post-pandemic recovery
An unintended consequence of the virus has been ‘one of the wildest bull markets in recent economic history’ but a worsening of income distribution wi
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Europe's disappointing investment deal with China
Why rush a deal that is so inherently complex?
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Deglobalisation in the context of United States-China decoupling
After decades of increasing globalisation, there now seems to be a slowing, or even a turn to deglobalisation, meaning decelerating trade and investme
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When and how should the European Union conclude an investment agreement with China?
A look into the potential Comprehensive Agreement on Investment between China and the European Union.
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Europe and India: Comparing Approaches to Global Economic Challenges
Stakeholders from government, private sector, media and academia/institutions come together to review India-EU relations.
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A silver lining for ageing Asia
An ageing population is generally bad news for growth prospects, but Japan and Taiwan offer important lessons.
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Europe is losing competitiveness in global value chains while China surges
The European Union owes much of its economic weight to its regional value chain and integration into the global value chain. But the EU’s global value
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How to keep a competitive environment while engaging with non market economies?
How can we ensure fair competition between European firms and Chinese state-backed players?
China-EU economic relations in the era of US-China economic competition
Testimony before the European Parliament on the subject of China-EU economic relations.
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RCEP might not stop reshuffling of Asian value chains
China is no doubt bound to benefit, but other members of the regional trade pact may benefit even more
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Hong Kong’s Intermediary Role on Funding the BRI: How does it fare against Singapore?
A look into the intermediary role of Hong Kong in financing cross-border Belt and Road Initiative projects and compare it with Singapore, a similar of
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Fifth Plenum maps China’s response to a more hostile world
'The Communist Party has acknowledged that the outside world now is more of a risk than an opportunity.'
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China's yuan nowhere near cracking US dollar hegemony
For all Beijing's ambitions of cracking the hegemony of the US dollar in the face of Trump administration sanctions, the yuan still has a long way to
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Politics, not economics, demands a strengthened international role for the euro
Not just the EU but also other countries, particularly China, need a defence against weaponisation of the dollar.
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The pandemic will structurally change the global economy more than we think
It is time to rethink many of the basic principles of our economic model to mitigate the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic.
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The Sound of Economics Live: The State of the Union going forward
In the first Sound of Economics Live episode after summer we look at the State of the Union address delivered by Ursula von der Leyen.
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Non-summit shows EU-China ties at new low
There was nothing concrete to justify calling this video conference an EU-China Summit.
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China's 'dual circulation' plan is bad news for others' exports
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Bruegel Annual Meetings 2020 - Day 2
Second day of Bruegel Annual Meetings.
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Bruegel Annual Meetings 1-3 September, 2020
Bruegel's flagship event transformed into a virtual conference for pandemic times
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Coronavirus recovery: invest rainy day savings to boost Hong Kong’s economy
The Hong Kong government might want to consider diversifying its economy by using part of the savings earmarked for rainy days. Beyond cushioning the
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China Has an Unfair Advantage in the EU Market. What Can Be Done to Level the Playing Field?
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China's targeted corporate shopping spree to continue, especially in Europe
Expect small, below the radar deals to continue to flourish and, by the same token, Europe to lose part of its edge in industrial technology and other
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Debt relief for Sub-Saharan Africa: what now?
When G20 finance heads meet on 18 July, Europe will again need to lead on the group’s flagship COVID-19 initiative to postpone low-income countries’ d